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About Career Risk Advisor

The promise sold to Gen Z in Australia—“learn to code and you’ll have an easy, stable, well-paying job for life”—was a total lie. Many invested years in training and degrees, only for AI to erase entry-level knowledge-work roles and unsustainable immigration to flood the market with cheaper overseas talent—leaving vanishing junior jobs, brutal competition and massive youth unemployment ~9.5%.

Gen-Z studied just as hard as every other generation but what was their reward? Graduating into a pandemic, endless job hunts, impossible housing and crushing living costs. This is a complete failure of government policy and a betrayal of young people.

In response to this increasingly difficult labour market it is essential that we learn from these mistakes and ensure we give the next generation worldy-wise advice that will not fail them.

What we show

For each occupation (at ANZSCO 4-digit unit level), we combine official data into five areas so you can compare roles and make more informed career or policy decisions.

  • Overall risk — A single label (Very low risk → Very high risk) based on the average of Immigration displacement risk and AI / Automation risk, so you can quickly see which occupations face the highest combined exposure.
  • Immigration displacement risk — Share of workers in that occupation who were born overseas (from the 2021 Census). Higher shares can indicate greater exposure to changes in migration or labour supply.
  • AI / Automation risk — Likelihood that tasks in the occupation could be automated by AI or robotics, from the Jobs and Skills Australia Generative AI Capacity Study.
  • Projected employment growth — Five-year percentage change in employment (May 2025 → May 2030) from JSA Employment Projections.
  • Entry difficulty — How hard it is to go from no experience to getting an entry-level job. We combine the share of job ads that are entry-level (JSA) with the typical qualification level (ANZSCO). E.g. many entry-level ads and on-the-job training = easier; few and a degree required = harder. Approximate.
  • Typical qualification level — Education level usually required (e.g. degree, diploma, certificate), from ANZSCO skill level in JSA data. Approximate; actual roles vary.
  • Replacement demand — Estimated job openings over 5 years from retirements and exits, derived from JSA Employment Projections (baseline employment and growth).
  • Age profile — Workforce age mix (median age, share 55+, share under 30) from ABS Census. Optional; shown when TableBuilder export is merged.
  • Earnings — Average weekly total cash earnings (AUD), from ABS Employee Earnings and Hours, May 2025 (all employees, Persons). Includes full-time and part-time. Shown at 4-digit occupation where available, otherwise 3-digit group average.

Data sources

All metrics use Australian official or published sources:

Disclaimer

Career Risk Advisor is for general information only. Risk levels and metrics are derived from the sources above and are not forecasts of job losses or gains. Labour markets are affected by many factors; use this tool alongside other research when making career or policy decisions.

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